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Prudent investment strategies for the intelligent investor Sunday, May 11, 2025 

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      LEARN HOW TO USE BUSINESS CYCLES TO IMPROVE THE PERFORMANCE OF YOUR INVESTMENTS

      Our Peter Dag’s Equity Model Portfolio appreciated +1.2% from 12/19 to 3/20 while the S&P 500 crashed -20.0% in the same period. Its performance is updated in each issue of our advisory and reflects our commitment to managing risk and returns. Several other model portfolios (ETF and mutual funds) are also recommended and their performance cl . . .

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The Peter Dag Video Library

Video0
CREDIT RISK IS SOARING - IMPLICATIONS FOR EQUITIES 2-19-2023
378 views
Video1
SELL BITCOIN
182 views
Video2
THE DOOM LOOP
172 views
Video3
THE DOLLAR, BITCOIN, AND INTEREST RATES
137 views
Video4
FED TAPERING AND ITS IMPACT ON STOCKS, COMMODITIES, AND BONDS
213 views
Video5
THE BEAR MARKET TO LAST WELL INTO 2023
345 views
Video6
THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND THE US AND GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
215 views
Video7
ECONOMIC GROWTH WILL RESUME NO SOONER THAN Q3 2023
39 views
Video8
BUSINESS CYCLE AND STOCK SELECTION
68 views
Video9
YIELD CURVE, THE BUSINESS CYCLE, AND THE FINANCIAL MARKETS
42 views
Video10
A MESSY CHART BUT TELLS YOU WHERE WE ARE GOING 8-8-2022
47 views
Video11
WORKING HARD AND MAKING LESS MONEY!
7 views
Video12
THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND FINANCIAL MARKETS AS OF 7/28/2022
122 views
Video13
TIGHTENING LENDING STANDARDS AND THE STOCK MARKET 7-25-2022
33 views
Video14
THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND FINANCIAL MARKETS AS OF 7/18/2022
59 views
Video15
A WINNING INVESTMENT STRATEGY IN RECESSIONS AND BEAR MARKETS
108 views
Video16
YIELD CURVE & LIQUIDITY BIG PROBLEMS FOR PROFITS AND THE MARKET
39 views
Video17
An economic and financial perfect storm
21 views
Video18
A SIMPLE STRATEGY IN A BEAR MARKET
41 views
Video19
COMMODITIES ARE PEAKING
32 views
Video20
DECLINING FINANCIAL LIQUIDITY IS BAD NEWS FOR PROFITS AND STOCKS
39 views
Video21
MAJOR INVENTORY CORRECTION WILL CRUSH THE ECONOMY
47 views
Video22
New home sales, bear markets and recessions
44 views
Video23
WHY THE CURRENT TREND OF MARGIN DEBT IS A PROBLEM
146 views
Video24
CONSUMERS ARE IN TROUBLE 1-15-2022
76 views
Video25
There is still too much money being printed
72 views
Video26
A SIMPLE STRATEGY TO PROFIT IN BULL OR BEAR MARKETS
196 views
Video27
INFLATION IN THE 1970s AND NOW 11-13-2021
462 views
Video28
1-19-2021 SLIDES USED IN MAY PRESENTATION TO WESTLAKE LIBRARY
570 views
Video29
1-14-2021 MONEYMASTERS COURSE MONEY SHOW ON PORTFOLIO MANGEMENT AND BUSINESS CYCLES
688 views
Video30
10-14-20 PRESENTATION TO AAII COLUMBUS OH
434 views
Video31
COLUMBUS PRESENTATION 12-08-2020
107 views
Video32
CASS SHIPMENT INDEX ---- 11-19-2020
37 views
Video33
11-15-20 FED SURVEY OF SENIOR LOAN OFFICERS
28 views
Video34
11-2-20 PORTFOLIO RISK VS REUTNS OVER 15 YEARS
5 views
Video35
9-29-20 PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS CYCLES IN CHINA (PREVIEW)
8 views
Video36
11-20-2020 INVENTORY CYCLE AND THE MARKETS
15 views
Video37
CHICAGO DIFFUSION INDEX 10-26-20
7 views
Video38
10-16-20 ......CASS SHIPMENT INDEX
1 views
Video39
10-15-20 CHICAGO FED ACTIVITY INDEX
11 views
Video40
10-09-20 PERFORMANCE REVIEW OF SOME OF THE TIMING PORTFOLIOS
8 views
Video41
10-3-20 TACTICAL TIMING INDICATOR
29 views
Video42
9-30-20 CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER REFLECTS STRONG GROWTH
4 views
Video43
9-28-2020 MARKIT PMI -- USA VS EUROZONE --COMMENTARY
1 views
Video44
9-27-20 TACTICAL MARKET TIMING INDICATOR
15 views
Video45
9-25-20 RICHMOND FED SURVEY ON MANUFACTURING
1 views
Video46
9-15-202 VIRTUAL PRESENTATION TO MONEY SHOW
63 views
Video47
9-25-20 INVESTMENT STRATEGY AND BUSINESS CYCLES
13 views
Video48
9-13-20 MORE TROUBLE AHEAD?
0 views
Video49
7-15-20 LEARNNG FROM THE PERFORMANCE OF THE MODEL PORTFOLIOS
2 views
Video50
7-10-20 PORTFOIO MANAGEMENT USING BUSINESS CYCLE TRENDS.
4 views
Video51
7-6-2020 This chart shows you a potential risk for the market.
4 views
Video52
6-13-2020 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK. AND WHAT HAPPENS AT THE BEGINNING OF A BULL MARKET.
23 views
Video53
5-15-20 THIS IS A REVIEW OF THE PERFORMANCE, PHILOSOPHY, AND OBJECTIVES OF THE PORTFOLIOS DISCUSSED IN EACH ISSUE OF THE PETER DAG PORTFOLIO.
2 views
Video54
5-30-2020 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK USING TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
14 views
Video55
5-5-2020 FIND OUT HOW TO IMPROVE YOUR RETURNS, AVOID LARGE LOSSES, AND REDUCE PORTFOLIO VOLATILITY.
26 views
Video56
4-28-20 MANAGING RISK...NOW . FIND OUT HOW YOU CAN MANAGE MARKET RISK, IMPROVE YOUR RETURNS,AND AVOID LARGE LOSSES BY USING SIMPLE INVESTMENT MODELS.
9 views
Video57
4-1-20 MANAGE PORTOLIO RISK IN UP AND DOWN MARKETS
4 views
Video58
3-22-2020 THIS VIDEO SHOWS HOW TO REDUCE MARKET LOSSES AND PORTFOLIO VOLATILITY
4 views
Video59
2-2020 LEARN HOW TO MANAGE INVESTMENT RISK USING THE INFORMATION PROVIDED TO YOU BY THE BUSINESS CYCLE
19 views
Video60
11-19 PART 1 --- HOW TO INVEST $100K YOU JUST RECEIVED
13 views
Video61
11-19 PART 2 --- HOW TO INVEST $100K YOU JUST RECEIVED
8 views
Video62
11-19 PART 3 --- HOW TO INVEST $100K YOU JUST RECEIVED
16 views
Video63
11-19 PART 4 --- HOW TO INVEST $100K YOU JUST RECEIVED
25 views
Video64
11-19 PART 5 -- HOW TO INVEST $100K YOU JUST RECEIVED
7 views
Video65
11-19 PART 6 -- HOW TO INVEST $100K YOU JUST RECEIVED
13 views
Video66
20-24-2019 One indicator -- all you need to know to predict the market trend. I discuss the one I use to make my decisions. Other gauges are useful but only to develop your strategy. Find out how this approach can help the management of your money.
51 views
Video67
10-6-19 YOU WILL LEARN ABOUT TWO INDICATORS USED TO RECOGNIZE TRENDS IN THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND FINANCIAL RISK. THIS INFORMATION IS CRUCIAL TO DECIDE WHICH MARKET SECTORS ARE LIKELY TO OUTPERFORM THE OVERALL MARKET.
25 views
Video68
6-25-2019 THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CAPITAL FLOWS, BUSINESS CYCLES, AND STRENGTH OF VARIOUS MARKET SECTORS IS SIMPLY AMAZING.
27 views
Video69
6-10-19 LEARN ABOUT THE RELATONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL RISK, BUSINESS CYCLES, AND STOCK SECTORS
19 views
Video70
5-22-19 TRENDS IN MARKET RISK AND PORTFOLIO STRATEGY
18 views
Video71
5-13-2019 THIS INDICATOR MEASURING FINANCIAL RISK SHOWS ITS RELATIONSHIP TO MAJOR MARKET TOPS.
3 views
Video72
4-28-2019 THE MARKET IS STRONG, VERY STRONG. THIS PRESENTATIONS SHOWS YOU THE SIGNS POINTING TO A MARKET PAUSE.
1 views
Video73
4-25-19 THIS NEW PROPRIETARY INDICATOR SHOWS HOW THE CLOSE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE GLOBAL BUSINESS CYCLES AND FOREIGN EQUITY MARKETS
1 views
Video74
4-21-19 STOCK MARKET MOMENTUM WORKS. TWO CASES RELATED TO CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS ARE DISCUSSED IN DETAIL.
1 views
Video75
4-17-19 FIND OUT HOW FOREIGN MARKETS ARE RELATED TO THE GLOBAL AND US BUSINESS CYCLE
1 views
Video76
4-12-19 THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND ASSET ALLOCATION - CURRENT TRENDS
21 views
Video77
4-11-19 Inventory cycles are the major forces driving the markets. (3-25-2019)
27 views
Video78
4-4-2019 The amazing relationship about global business cycles
25 views
Video79
3-24-19 Bonds are can protect your portfolio when stocks are weak.
2 views
Video80
1-29-19 WHICH SECTORS ARE OUTPERFORMING IN THE CURRENT BUSINESS CYCLE SCENARIO?
3 views
Video81
1-26-19 This chart shows what the markets think about the strength of the economy and which sectors will perform best if current trends continue.(1-27-2019)
2 views
Video82
1-22-19 A SAFE WAY TO AVOID PAINFUL LOSSES IS TO FOLLOW PORTFOLIOS USING TESTED TIMING MODELS.
1 views
Video83
1-19-19 This video shows the relationship between the business cycle and your investments
6 views
Video84
1-19-19 This video shows an easy way to recognize the trend of the stocks market
1 views
Video85
1-19-19 The market sank 20% from October to December 24, 2018. It soared 14% in the following 3 week. Has the trend of the market changed?
3 views
Video86
2-16-19 Follow the blue line. A simple way to recognize a trend and invest successfully.
2 views
Video87
This video explores the message of the global markets about the global economy
0 views
Video88
PROTECTING YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS - PART 2 - HOW TO USE THE PREDICTIONS OF THE BEST FORECASTERS TO PROTECT OUR PORTFOLIO
2 views
Video89
This video explores the relationship between bond yields and commodities
1 views
Video90
THE CASE FOR A BULL MARKET - CLICK ON THE TUMBNAIL TO REVIEW THE VIDEO
1 views
Video91
PROTECTING YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS - PART 3 - HOW TO USE THE LESSONS OF HISTORY TO PROTECT OUR PORTFOLIO
3 views
Video92
PROTECTING YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS - PART1 - HOW TO USE THE ACTION OF OUR LEADERS TO PROTECT OUR PORTFOLIO
4 views
Video93
PROTECTING YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS - PART 4 - HOW TO SELECT ASSET CLASSES TO MANAGE RISK AND PROTECT OUR PORTFOLIO
2 views
Video94
PROTECTING YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS - PART 5 - HOW TO SELECT LOW VOLATILITY INVESTMENTS TO MANAGE RISK AND PROTECT OUR PORTFOLIO
1 views
Video95
PROTECTING YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS - PART 6 - A SIMPLE HEDGING STRATEGY TO MANAGE RISK AND PROTECT YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM DEVASTATING EVENTS USING THE CONCEPTS DEVELOPED IN PREVIOUS PARTS 1 TO 5
8 views
Video96
The inventory cycle -- the data you need to follow to predict the trend of the financial markets
2 views
Video97
The inventory cycle -- see how business decisions impact the financial markets
23 views
Video98
LEARN HOW THE BUSINESS CYCLE DRIVES STOCK PRICES. THE ACTION OF THE PRICE OF CATERPILLAR IS REVIEWED IN THIS VIDEO. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL CATERPILLAR. CLICK ON ICON.
31 views
Video99
THIS VIDEO SHOWS YOU HOW THE LAGGING INDICATORS GIVE YOU A MEASURE OF THE EXCESSES PRESENT IN THE ECONOMY. THEY ARE USEFUL IN PREDICTING THE TREND OF THE LEADING INDICATORS AND OF THE BUSINESS CYCLE. CLICK ON ICON.
60 views
Video100
LEARN HOW TO USE TRENDLINES AND VOLUME TO SPOT IMPORTANT TURNING POINTS IN THE MARKET AVERAGES AND STOCKS.
10 views
Video101
LEARN TO PREDICT THE LIKELY TREND OF PROFITS. THE BUSINESS CYCLE HAS A MAJOR IMPACT ON PROFITS AND ON THE EQUITY MARKET.
11 views
Video102
THIS PRESENTATION DISCUSSES MY VIEWS ON WHY THE EUROPEAN EXPERIMENT CANNOT WORK. WHAT IS HAPPENING IN EUROPE PROVES EXACTLY WHY MILTON FRIEDMAN WAS ABSOLUTELY CORRECT. INVESTMENT IDEAS ARE ALSO DISCUSSED IN DETAIL WITHIN A BUSINESS CYCLE FRAMEWORK.
32 views
Video103
PRODUCTIVITY IS A RELIABLE MEASURE TO ASSESS TRENDS IN PROFITS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, TRADE BALANCES, AND STOCK MARKET TRENDS. FIND OUT WHY IMPROVING PRODUCTIVITY IS THE MAIN WAY TO INCREASE WEALTH.
7 views
Video104
A SIMPLE MODEL TO PROFIT IN UP OR DOWN MAREKETS
20 views
Video105
LEARN HOW BONDS CAN BE AN ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT AT SPECIFIC TIMES DURING THE BUSINESS CYCLE. THEY CAN BE USED EFFECTIVELY TO MINIMIZE THE VOLATILITY OF YOUR PORTFOLIO ONLY IF YOU BUY AT THE RIGHT TIME.
34 views
Video106
THIS VIDEO WILL SHOW YOU A SIMPLE MODEL THAT HAS OUPERFORMED THE MARKET. THIS TECHNIQUE COULD BE USED TO MANAGE RISK.
29 views
Video107
THOUGHTS COMING FROM MORE THAN 30 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS OF INVESTING AND FORECASTING FINANCIAL MARKETS.
16 views
Video108
THE EUROPEAN PROBLEMS AND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES FOR A WEAK ECONOMY. FIND OUT WHAT ARE THE REAL SIGNS POINTING TO A COUNTRY FINANCIAL PROBLEMS..
21 views
Video109
TRADING VOLUME IS A VERY IMPORTANT INDICATOR TO RECOGNIZE IMPORTANT TOPS IN THE MARKET AND STOCK PRICES. SEVERAL EXAMPLES ARE DISCUSSED TO SHOW YOU ITS USE IN YOUR INVESTMENT PROCESS.
29 views
Video110
INTEREST RATES ARE THE FEVER CHART OF ANY ECONOMY IN TIME AND SPACE .. SINCE BABILONIA. THIS PRESENTATION SHOWS YOU HOW YOU CAN USE THIS CRUCIAL INFORMATION TO DEVELOP AN INFORMED INVESTMENT STRATEGY
58 views
Video111
5-24-13INVESTING IN A WEAK ECONOMY. A DETAILED ANLYSIS OF WHICH STOCKS AND ASSETS CLASSES DO WELL IN A WEAK ECONOMY AND WHICH ONES ARE MOST LIKELY TO UNDERPERFORM THE MARKET WHEN THE ECONOMY GROWS SLOWLY.
46 views
Video112
5-24-13 LEARN HOW BY FOLLOWING THE LEADING INDICATORS YOU WILL BE ABLE TO PREDICT THE DIRECTION OF THE BUSINESS CYCLE. THIS IS A CRUCIAL STEP TO ASSESS THE DIRECTION OF ALL ASSET PRICES.
59 views
Video113
5-24-13 THE BUSINESS CYCLE -- THE FORCE DRIVING ASSET PRICES
132 views
Video114
5-24-13 The coincident indicators - they tell you the current position of the business cycle
108 views
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